Document Type
Working Paper
Publication Date
2009
Abstract
This working paper reviews the evolution of the HIV/AIDS epidemic and provides estimates of past trends and future projections of AIDS mortality indicators, including numbers of AIDS deaths, the proportion of all deaths that are due to AIDS, and life expectancy. A cumulative total of 24 million people have died from AIDS between 1980 and 2007, and by 2030 this total is projected to reach 75 million. Despite the rapid spread of this new disease during the 1980s and 1990s, the epidemic has reached a major turning point in recent years as the rate of new infections peaked and began a decline. Worldwide, the proportion of all deaths caused by AIDS reached 3.9 percent in 2004; this proportion varies widely from a high of 15 percent in sub-Saharan Africa to around one percent in Asia and other regions. In the future, the number of AIDS deaths and the proportion of deaths due to AIDS are projected to remain approximately at their current levels.
DOI
10.31899/pgy3.1030
Language
English
Recommended Citation
Bongaarts, John, Francois Pelletier, and Patrick Gerland. 2009. "Global trends in AIDS mortality," Poverty, Gender, and Youth Working Paper no. 16. New York: Population Council. Version of record: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-9996-9_8
Included in
Demography, Population, and Ecology Commons, Health Policy Commons, Immune System Diseases Commons, International Public Health Commons, Medicine and Health Commons, Virus Diseases Commons